'Overwhelmingly the most popular option in our market is for David Cameron to quit during 2016, with almost 50% of those who have had a bet opting to back that year, the odds for which have shrunk from 10/1 (9% chance) to a current 2/1(33%)' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.'Regardless of the outcome of the EU Referendum, the Tory Party's unity will have been damaged, possibly beyond immediate repair, and Mr Cameron may decide to let someone else deal with the situation.'
Hills even make Cameron odds-on (4/5) to stand down as Tory leader before Jeremy Corbyn (Even money to go first) does so as Labour leader.
WHEN WILL DAVID CAMERON CEASE TO BE TORY LEADER?....2/1 2016 (49.7% OF BETS STRUCK); 6/1 2017 (22.1% OF BETS); 8/1 2018 (18.1%); 9/4 2019 (6.5%); 9/4 2020 (0.5%); 20/1 2021 OR LATER (3.1% OF BETS)
OUTCOME OF EU REF....1/6 REMAIN; 4/1 LEAVE
WHO WILL STAND DOWN FIRST AS LEADER OF HIS PARTY?....4/5 CAMERON; EVENS CORBYN
WHO WILL SUCCEED CAMERON AS ELECTED TORY LEADER?....5/2 Boris Johnson; 4/1 George Osborne; 6/1 Theresa May; 7/1 Michael Gove; 8/1 Sajid Javid; 11/1 Priti Patel; 12/1 Stephen Crabb. Others on request.
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION.....1/3 Cons most seats; 11/10 Con overall majority; 11/8 Hung Parliament; 5/1 Lab most seats; 4/1 Labour overall majority.