Latest Opinion Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[1] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results are generally rounded to the nearest percentage point (where a result is less than 0.5%, but more than zero, it is indicated by '*').
The six parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2015 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Other" column.
  Conservative Party (Con)
  Labour Party (Lab)
  UK Independence Party (UKIP)
  Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem)
  Scottish National Party (SNP)
  Green parties (Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party) (Green)

2016[edit]

[hide]Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLib DemSNPGreenOthersLead
13–16 DecOpinium/Observer2,00038%31%13%6%6%4%1%7%
9–12 DecIpsos MORI1,00340%29%9%14%4%3%1%11%
9–11 DecICM/The Guardian2,04941%27%14%9%4%3%1%14%
8 DecSleaford and North Hykeham by-election
4–5 DecYouGov/The Times1,66742%25%12%11%6%[a]4%1%17%
1 DecRichmond Park by-election
28–29 NovYouGov/The Times1,62439%27%14%9%6%[a]4%1%12%
28 NovPaul Nuttall is elected the leader of UKIP
25–27 NovICM/The Guardian2,00944%28%12%7%4%4%2%16%
21–22 NovYouGov/The Times1,69341%28%12%9%6%[a]4%0%13%
18–20 NovICM/The Guardian2,03142%28%11%9%4%3%2%14%
15–18 NovOpinium2,00541%29%12%7%6%3%1%12%
14–15 NovYouGov/The Times1,71742%28%11%8%7%[a]4%1%14%
11–14 NovIpsos MORI1,01342%33%7%10%5%[a]3%1%9%
1–4 NovOpinium2,00140%32%13%6%6%4%8%
31 Oct–1 NovYouGov/The Times1,60841%27%11%10%6%[a]4%1%14%
28–30 OctICM/The Guardian2,04043%27%12%8%4%5%1%16%
24–25 OctYouGov/The Times1,65540%27%11%11%7%[a]3%1%13%
19–24 OctBMG1,54642%28%12%8%5%4%1%14%
20 OctBy-elections in Witney and Batley & Spen
19–20 OctYouGov/Election Data1,60842%26%12%8%6%[a]5%1%16%
14–17 OctIpsos MORI1,01647%29%6%7%6%[a]4%1%18%
11–12 OctYouGov/The Times1,66942%28%11%9%6%[a]3%0%14%
7–9 OctICM/The Guardian2,01743%26%11%8%4%6%2%17%
4 OctDiane James resigns as leader of UKIP
28–29 SepYouGov/The Times1,65839%30%13%8%6%[a]3%0%9%
24 SepJeremy Corbyn is re-elected as leader of the Labour Party
21–23 SepICM/Sun on Sunday2,01541%26%14%8%5%4%2%15%
20–23 SepBMG2,02639%28%13%8%5%5%2%11%
19–21 SepYouGov/The Times3,28539%30%13%8%6%[a]3%1%9%
16 SepDiane James is elected the leader of UKIP
13–14 SepYouGov/The Times1,73238%31%13%7%6%4%7%
10–14 SepIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00040%34%9%6%4%[a]5%1%6%
9–11 SepICM/The Guardian2,01341%27%14%8%5%4%2%14%
4–5 SepYouGov/The Times1,61640%29%13%7%7%[a]3%11%
2 SepCaroline Lucas and Jonathan Bartley are elected joint leaders of the Green Party
30–31 AugYouGov/The Times1,68738%30%14%7%6%[a]4%8%
26–28 AugICM/The Guardian2,04041%27%13%9%4%4%2%14%
22–23 AugYouGov/The Times1,66040%29%13%8%6%[a]3%1%11%
11–22 AugLord Ashcroft Polls8,01140%31%13%7%5%3%1%9%
16–17 AugYouGov/The Times1,67738%30%13%9%7%[a]4%8%
13–15 AugIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01745%34%6%7%4%4%1%11%
12–15 AugICM2,01040%28%14%8%4%4%2%12%
8–9 AugYouGov/The Times1,69238%31%13%8%7%[a]4%7%
5–8 AugTNS1,19939%26%11%10%4%7%2%13%
1–2 AugYouGov/The Times1,72242%28%12%8%6%[a]3%1%14%
25–26 JulYouGov/The Times1,68040%28%13%8%7%[a]4%1%12%
22–24 JulICM2,01243%27%13%8%4%4%1%16%
19–22 JulOpinium/Observer2,23137%31%15%6%6%4%1%6%
17–18 JulYouGov1,89140%29%12%9%7%[a]3%1%11%
13–15 JulICM2,02739%29%14%9%4%4%2%10%
13 JulTheresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
9–11 JulIpsos MORI1,02136%35%8%11%5%4%1%1%
8–10 JulICM2,02538%30%15%8%5%4%1%8%
4–5 JulSurvation/Constitutional Research Council1,00836%32%12%9%6%7%4%
1–3 JulICM1,97937%30%15%8%5%4%2%7%
28–30 JunOpinium2,00634%29%17%7%5%4%2%5%
24–26 JunICM/The Guardian2,00136%32%15%7%5%5%1%4%
24–25 JunSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,03332%32%16%9%4%4%2%Tie
23 JunUnited Kingdom European Union membership referendum: the UK votes to leave European Union; David Cameron announces he will resign as Prime Minister
20–22 JunOpinium3,01134%30%19%6%6%4%2%4%
14–17 JunOpinium/Observer2,00634%30%18%6%6%4%1%4%
16 JunTooting by-electionkilling of MP Jo Cox, leading to a suspension of referendum campaigning until 19 June
15–16 JunComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,04634%29%19%8%5%4%2%5%
11–14 JunIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,25735%34%10%9%5%4%3%1%
10–13 JunICM/The Guardian2,00134%30%19%8%4%4%1%4%
10–13 JunICM/The Guardian1,00034%33%14%9%4%5%2%1%
7–10 JunOpinium/Observer2,00935%32%18%4%5%4%1%3%
31 May–3 JunOpinium/Observer2,00734%30%18%6%6%4%2%4%
27–29 MayICM/The Guardian2,05236%31%17%7%4%4%2%5%
27–29 MayICM/The Guardian1,00436%32%15%7%4%3%2%4%
17–19 MayOpinium/Observer2,00835%30%18%5%6%5%2%5%
14–16 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00236%34%10%8%5%5%2%2%
13–15 MayICM/The Guardian1,00236%34%13%7%4%4%2%2%
13–15 MayICM/The Guardian2,04834%32%17%7%5%4%1%2%
11–12 MayComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,04336%30%17%8%5%4%6%
5 MayUnited Kingdom elections, 2016 including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-elections
26–29 AprOpinium/Observer2,00538%30%15%5%5%5%2%8%
25–26 AprYouGov/The Times1,65030%33%20%6%8%[a]3%3%
22–26 AprBMG Research1,37533%32%18%6%5%4%2%1%
16–18 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02638%35%11%6%6%3%1%3%
15–17 AprICM/The Guardian1,00338%33%13%7%5%3%1%5%
15–17 AprICM/The Guardian2,00836%31%16%7%4%4%2%5%
13–14 AprComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,03635%30%16%8%5%4%1%5%
11–12 AprYouGov/The Times1,63931%34%17%8%7%[a]3%3%
29 Mar–1 AprOpinium/Observer1,96633%32%17%5%6%4%2%1%
24–29 MarBMG Research1,29836%31%16%7%5%5%2%5%
19–22 MarIpsos MORI1,02336%34%11%10%5%3%2%2%
18–20 MarComRes/Daily Mail1,00237%35%9%7%5%4%2%2%
16–17 MarYouGov/The Times1,69133%34%16%6%6%[a]3%2%1%
16 MarGeorge Osborne delivers the 2016 United Kingdom budget
11–13 MarICM/The Guardian1,00136%36%11%8%3%3%1%Tie
9–10 MarComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,05938%29%16%7%4%4%1%9%
21–23 FebYouGov/The Times3,48237%30%16%8%6%[a]3%7%
17–23 FebBMG Research1,26838%30%16%5%5%5%2%8%
19–22 FebComRes/Daily Mail1,00038%31%12%8%4%3%3%7%
13–16 FebIpsos MORI1,00139%33%12%6%6%3%2%6%
12–14 FebICM/The Guardian1,00439%32%11%7%4%4%3%7%
10–12 FebComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,01841%27%15%9%5%3%1%14%
3–4 FebYouGov/The Times1,67539%29%18%6%4%[a]3%1%10%
27–28 JanYouGov1,73539%30%17%6%4%[a]3%1%9%
23–25 JanIpsos MORI1,02740%31%11%7%5%4%1%9%
22–24 JanComRes/Daily Mail1,00637%32%12%6%4%4%4%5%
15–17 JanICM/The Guardian1,00140%35%10%6%4%3%2%5%
15–16 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,01737%30%16%7%5%3%3%7%
13–15 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,00440%29%16%7%4%3%1%11%
8–14 JanPanelbase/Sunday Times2,08739%31%14%6%5%5%8%

2015[edit]

[hide]Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLib DemSNPGreenOthersLead
18–20 DecICM/The Guardian1,00339%34%10%7%4%3%3%5%
17–18 DecYouGov/The Times1,59839%29%17%6%5%[a]3%1%10%
15–18 DecOpinium/Observer1,93638%30%16%5%6%5%2%8%
12–14 DecIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,04038%31%9%9%5%6%2%7%
11–13 DecComRes/Daily Mail1,00137%33%11%7%4%5%2%4%
9–11 DecComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,04940%29%16%7%4%3%1%11%
3 DecOldham West and Royton by-election
30 Nov–1 DecYouGov/The Times1,65741%30%16%6%4%[a]3%1%11%
20–24 NovYouGov4,31738%29%17%6%5%[a]3%1%9%
20–22 NovComRes/Daily Mail1,00040%29%11%8%4%3%4%11%
18–20 NovComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,06742%27%15%7%5%3%1%15%
16–17 NovSurvation/Leave.EU[b]1,54637%30%16%6%5%3%3%7%
14–17 NovIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02141%34%7%7%6%4%-7%
11–17 NovBMG Research1,33437%30%15%7%4%4%2%7%
13–15 NovICM/The Guardian1,00639%33%12%7%5%3%1%6%
9–11 NovSurvation/Leave.EU[b]2,00736%30%15%7%5%3%3%6%
22–27 OctBMG Research1,46737%31%15%6%4%5%2%6%
23–25 OctComRes/Daily Mail1,00238%33%10%8%3%3%4%5%
17–19 OctIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02136%32%12%10%5%3%2%4%
13–16 OctOpinium1,93437%32%15%5%6%4%2%5%
14–15 OctComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,05142%29%13%7%5%3%1%13%
9–11 OctICM/The Guardian1,00238%34%11%7%5%3%3%4%
29–30 SepYouGov/The Sun2,06437%31%17%7%5%[a]2%1%6%
26–28 SepComRes/Daily Mail1,00939%30%12%9%4%4%3%9%
21–22 SepSurvation/Huffington Post1,00837%32%13%9%5%3%1%5%
19–22 SepIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,25539%34%7%9%5%4%1%5%
17–18 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,60139%31%16%6%5%[a]3%1%8%
15–18 SepOpinium1,94237%32%14%6%5%4%1%5%
16–17 SepComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,01542%30%13%7%5%3%1%12%
11–13 SepICM/The Guardian1,00638%32%13%8%5%3%2%6%
12 SepJeremy Corbyn is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Leader of the Opposition
3–4 SepSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00438%32%13%6%5%4%2%6%
21–23 AugComRes/Daily Mail1,00142%28%9%8%5%6%3%14%
12–13 AugComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,03540%29%13%8%5%4%1%11%
12–13 AugSurvation/TSSA1,00738%33%15%6%5%3%1%5%
7–9 AugICM/The Guardian1,00040%31%10%7%5%4%2%9%
24–26 JulComRes/Daily Mail1,00140%28%10%7%5%5%4%12%
18–20 JulIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02637%31%9%10%5%8%1%6%
16 JulTim Farron is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
10–12 JulICM/The Guardian1,00538%34%13%6%4%4%1%4%
26–28 JunComRes/Daily Mail1,00239%27%11%9%5%6%3%12%
14–16 JunIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00539%30%8%9%5%6%2%9%
12–14 JunICM/The Guardian1,00437%31%13%8%5%5%1%6%
29–31 MayComRes/Daily Mail1,00041%29%10%8%5%5%3%12%
25–26 MayYouGov/The Sun1,70941%30%13%7%4%[a]4%1%11%
8–9 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,02740%31%12%6%5%3%2%9%
7 MayGeneral Election results (GB only)[2][3]29,980,10737.8%31.2%12.9%8.1%4.9%3.8%1.4%6.6%
  1. Jump up to:a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag Includes those expressing a voting intention for Plaid Cymru.
  2. Jump up to:a b This survey included respondents from Northern Ireland.

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